New Research Indicates a Much-Needed Emphasis on Assessments

By Kevin W. Grossman on ERE.net, published on May 31, 2023

An unprecedented level of disruption is barreling down on employers and their workforces, according to the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) “Future of Jobs Report 2023.” Due to the convergence of forces — including technological advancements, economic challenges, and the need to transition to greener businesses practices — employers estimate that nearly half of their workers’ skills will be disrupted in the next five years.

But haven’t we already been barreling down this path?

We most certainly have, and even more so now. The report notes that traditional skills (reading, writing, mathematics, and manual dexterity, among others) are being superseded by analytical thinking, creative thinking, and self-efficacy skills such as resilience, flexibility, and agility. As a result, many employers that participated in WEF’s research plan to invest in reskilling and upskilling initiatives to embed these new skills within their organizations.

As crucial as they are, these initiatives will accomplish only so much. The need for a continuous stream of new talent simply can’t be reskilled or upskilled away. The problem is finding new qualified talent has never been so challenging.

Skills-First Hiring to the Rescue

The World Economic Forum acknowledged the difficulty of finding the right talent recently in another prescient piece, “Why skills-first hiring is the solution to the global talent shortage.”

As the WEF writes, “Exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and an aging population, the scarcity of skilled workers has employers feeling the crunch.” There are still nearly 10 million open jobs in the U.S. alone, the article points out, and employers aren’t doing themselves any favors by taking an education-first or experience-first approach to recruiting. Even with hiring cooling, it’s still steady across many industries, but the reality is that many of those 10 million positions aren’t getting filled with the recruiting and hiring status quo.

For example, having a degree requirement for a job automatically disqualifies nearly 65% of working-age adults in the U.S. who don’t possess a bachelor’s degree. And with more and more jobs now requiring a bachelor’s degree, the WEF notes that roughly 80 million prime working-age Americans are excluded from these roles. That approach no longer makes sense for our talent-starved businesses.

Enter skills-based hiring.

“Hiring based on skills is five times more predictive of job performance than hiring based on education and more than twice as predictive as hiring based on work experience,” the WEF writes. “Employees who feel their skills are not being put to good use in their current job are 10 times more likely to be looking for a new job, compared to those who do feel their skills are being put to good use.”

Numbers like those are hard to argue against. Even so, I don’t believe that skills-first hiring is a standalone solution to the world’s talent gaps. Neither are reskilling and upskilling. The fact is that we’re not facing an either/or choice. To fix the global talent shortage, we’ll need to implement all three of these solutions.